Tuesday, 25 June 2013

commodity trading part 1+2

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What is most important to earn in mcx /stock market trading?




1.Two things are most important
Technicals- to understand basic direction of chart
Discipline - time discipline+Target discipline
Whenever a big up /down movement comes,it attract all the traders back.when traders come back to trade,it becomes rangebound again.
Just notice last fridays free fall.
Then very dull movement on sat,monday and tuesday morning.
When 90% trader became hopeless,it just moved up 2000pts in 4 hrs.
2.Beginners are hyperactive.they  try to trade on every up & down.
Mature trader choose 10 trades in a week.
If chance goes,its ok,but capital should not go away.
So calculate number of trade and stop losses u can afford.
Suppose there is a positional buy call in nickel abv 1052 sl 1034(18pt=4500)tgt1100
A small trader can't afford it but he wants to.
He should use rs.3-3 sl 3 times.
buy@1052 sl 1049
buy@1043 sl1040
Buy@1037 sl1034
In this way it is possible to trade such call in just rs. 9 sl.

3.       How were the global mkts last night.(see at yahoo.finance.com

4.       When mkt opens at 10am. First of all, see the direction of comdex index at right top of screen. 

5.       Create mkt watch before 10.

6.       Place 4 commodity on upper half of screen, and place odin chart in lower half.

7.       U can start test trade with micro silver at 10.01. It is possible to have 150pts in silver in first 3 min. But do it with strict sl.when u become confident for 7 days in silvermicro then do it with mini 5kg or 30kg.for this it is necessary to have key board & operator skill in ur hand.buy silver@ 51900 sl 51750 tgt 52100place all the order fast.after confidence & observation 3 big lots gives u 15000 in first 3 min. Never do it without strict stoploss.

8.       Ur reaction time is very important in trading. How many minutes do u take for decision & execution of trade?

9.       Don't be imotional when stoploss hits. It is better to hit 5 sl of 150pts rather than 1sl of 1000pts.

10.     Be flexible in trading.suppose silver goes up in morning and down in afternoon & again up in evening,then flexible trader takes 200pts from each 500 pts in safe zone.

11.     Never try to chase any commodity till pick or bottom. 
Place prior order for profit booking. Book at bottoms and resell again at jump or if it breaks low. (always with sl) 

12.     Keep time discipline.trade from 10 to 11am. Check opportunity at 2 pm when data comes. 
Avoid trading between 6 to 8 without clear tip.last trading session from 8 to 9.30. Then enjoy with family. 

13.     Target discipline. Fix min 2% daily tgt on capital. Every trader is not supposed to trade on every call. U can have 6000 in 3 safe calls with small sl. 

14.     Target for max loss in a day should also be fix with profit tgt. 
Trading every hour will not give u any profit.just learn to digest profit or loss. Take rest of 2 hours or 2days after small/big loss. 
Check this website to see annual charts of commodity- 
Commodity section 
See all products, details & fundamental(demand & supply) 
If u have problem with english,check this site 
Commodity section

15.Do not irritate when sl hit.
always count amount of stoploss instead of number of stoploss.

16.if there are clear resson to by something with ressonable sl then buy it.
if suddenly buyers decresse ,don,t wait for sl hit ,just come out .

17. Keep booking part profit and keep trailing SL(STOPLOSS) in remaining lot.

18.For great profits ,
          we need to do one thing only control your losses .profit will take care of itself.

19.Trader make a common mistakes.they control their profits, but wait in losses,
         there should be 1:3 ratio is sl/profit.

20.When u open positions ,just calculate the value of total stoplosses.if total stop loss amount is higher,then reduce the volume.

21. Control over volume is the ultimate control.If we are making 3mistakes in micro lot,then recovery is possible in single big lot.


22. do not over trade.If daily loss reach 2% of capital,then stop trading immediate
It is the MOST IMPORTANT RULE.
and it takes time to practice.

23.Just learn to digest profit or loss.
Take a break,listen music,go to market,meet people or study old charts on internet.

24.Always think in percentage(%).If silver is moving 500pt then it is just 1%.It may go upto 6% someday.

25.Beginners are hyperactive,but mature traders trade only when there is strong reason.

26.Learn to see mkt watch with time discipline,twice or trice a day.(say @1.55pm,5.55,8.55pm )
If you learn to remain calm in red and blue .then you will win definitely.

27.  Calculate your daily brokerage and taxes.You can't ignore detail cost in any business.

Traders generally pay upto 1000/- for daily brokerage+taxes,but they never calculate this.That is why they are not mentally prepared to pay half of this(500/- daily) for good research and training.

28.just record all your trade in a pocket diaryand analyse your trading behaviour & methodology day by day.
Facts & figures show us exact picture.
Do not argue and do not justify your mistakes.
Accept simply,then rectify day by day.
                        
29.A trader's core thought is very important.If you think that it is a gambling of chances,then it becomes gambling actually.
If  one consider it like a genuine business,then he is ready for all proper inputs.

30.Leave your ego,keep your profits.
Keep your ego,leave your profits.
A trader has to be very flexible.He should adjust profit & losses as per market conditions.

31.Try to trade in safe zone.If copper is going from 400 to 410,then take 403 to 407,That is safe zone.
You can go for 3lots  for 12pt profit.

32.Do not chase profit.
If chance goes,let it go.It will come back,
buy if capital goes, it will not come back.
No one dieif he falls from slow bicycle.Speed without skill is biggest danger.
Your growth should be slow & steady for retaining success.

33.You should not be bullish or bearish by nature.If we are occupied with some pressumption,we can not see actual movement.

34.Reduce your reaction time.If you observe continuously without any pressure then It will reduce automatically.
Reaction time means gap between taking decision & implementing real trade.

35.do not become dustbin.Whole media,tv channel& prints,co traders & many websites are coming with contradictory statements & views.
One becomes full of garbage like dustbin --totally confused.
Refrain from noise,listen to all but follow right reasons.

36.Do not buy or sell in impulse.If right reasons are there(sector running,above avrage,more buyers,bounce from bottom) buy/sell optimum volume with strict small stoploss.
If  no right reason is there,sit free whole day without any trade or open hedging both side(up/down).

37.We should not have attachment or detatchment to any commodity.
some fellow says -we trade in bullions only.
some says- I will never touch silver again.WHY?
We sould be familier to all commodities especiaaly in MCX to get regular intraday profits.
If gold/silver shows very good move  for2-3 days ,then it will become rangebound for next 4-5 days.
When bullion take breather, base metal- copper-nickel -lead-zinc shows big move one by one.

Choose strongest to buy  & weakest to sell on that day to earn maximum with minimum risk.

38. Many of traders know that how to trade when market moves good
But few of traders know - how to pass time without trade when market is in confusing tight range.

39.Keep checking all your pending orders by F3-f3and cancel all useless orders.
See net position in ALT+F6 and keep booking profit directly from there.

40.We need to try and test right system for 50days.Just learn to maintain 1000/- in evening (7-8.30slot)
Then multiply lots(2.3.6) gradually.PROFIT may reach upto 5000/- or 10000/-daily.
If one reaches such target in 24 months,then IS iT LATE? 2lac per month within 2yrs.

41.Some day you tried very much but still in loss of 2000/-. all sl hitting.
Just accept it & leave the screen for today.
You don't have any burden of loan,salary,electricity bill or petrol etc.
Play cool.

42.Never try to recover loss in single shot,Otherwise loss will be double.
Recover loss of 10.000/- in 4parts.

43.Even if you have lost 20lacs in losses ,It is ok to plan 5000/- daily only and stick to plan.
You will cover all your losses in 400 days only(less than 1.5yrs)
If you need to get training,Salaried operator or fast internet speed.
Calculate and arrange all these.
Within 20days ,It will be clear whether these things are  working or not.

44.Record all your trading activities  and time slots in dull hours or late evening..You can see loopholes and improvise day by day.

45.Whole day watching screen may create fatigue in your body,mind and eyes.So take breaks.
Relax your eyes,take a nap in afternoon,meditate,parallel self study of market trends.Write diary.

46.Maintain energy level to remain fearless & to make prompt decision and action.
See "SPECIAL EXERCISE & DIET FOR SUPER TRADER"(coming soon DVD499/-


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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS part 1



There are 2 types of analysis in commodity/stock or any screen based trading market like currency-forex.

1.FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS- It tells us - WHAT to buy/sell.
It depends on actual demand & supply.It will discuss production,demand,inventory & govt. policies.
Main tools used in this analysis are data & facts.
It helps to understand mainly short term or positional move in coming months & years.
It is more complicated,time consuming & less useful in daily trading.

2.TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- It tells us - WHEN to buy/sell.
It depend on buyers & sellers,who are more affected by recent sentiments instead of actual demend & supply.
main tools are CHARTS-
CHART shows movement of price & volume  with time.
Main types of charts are-

line chart


Line chart shows UPTREND when line is going up.Downtrend with RED line.
When price neither goes up nor down and bound in range,then it is called SIDEWAYS.


Candlestick chart
Candlestick shows minute to minute detail of movement.Green or white colour shows upside.
RED or black shows downside.



There are so many candlestick  patterns to understand the periodical behaviour of any scrip.





These type of charts given below are not very much useful for trading purpose.

Area chart

Bar chart
more details will be given in the same article in future.



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Thursday, 20 June 2013

TRADING TUNNEL THEORY-LOWER/UPPER CIRCUIT STRATAGY

What to do,when any commodity slips in lower circuit? or upper circuit.
silver fell 4% in afternoon,then it slipped to 6%.

Many traders who are waiting for buying since days,
bought silver on first fall (-1000pt
& it fell further -2300pt.All traders felt then totally trapped.    

Do not have any prior assumption for BUY or SELL in any commodity.
Do what,chart-buyer & average showing.
So if silver is not coming up above AVERAGE,
sellers are still 3-4times,
Then keep selling it on every jump.

on -4% or -6% you must open hedging both side with strict STOPLOSS.
If you are in single BUYING and SL hit 2-3 times,You will not dare to buy again@right time.
If we are in single side SELLING with even very small SL(50pt in gold
and SL hits,It bounce up by 400pt.
Then we did not lose 50pt only ,But the rare opportunity of +400pt.
So think of HEDGING positively, even if it is not giving any profit in 5 times out of 10 times.


TRADING TUNNEL THEORY-
There was a big move in silver but many traders missed this opportunity.
They may be repenting continuously on this.
                                                                                               SELL
BUY
Don't worry if you missed SELL opportunity on one end,
get ready to use BUY opportunity on other end.

When any falling scrip comes above average & buyers start increasing,then it is a CROSSOVER.
A big buying opportunity & viceversa in selling.

DO NOT TRY TO CATCH A FAST RUNNING MISSING TRAIN,
YOU CAN'T LOSE WHOLE LIFE TO SAVE ONLY ONE HOUR.
means
Take risk of 1 pt to earn 3 pt profit.

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Wednesday, 19 June 2013

HOW SHOULD WE DEAL CRUDE/NATURAL GAS INVENTORY DATA?

HOW SHOULD WE DEAL INVENTORY DATA?


On wednesday, CRUDE inventory data comes@8 or 9 Pm.

There is sudden sharp move @ dot 8pm.
but it is difficult to predict whether it will go up or down.

On theoretical basis,
if inventory is less than expected,price should go up.
But indian MCX market is not mature right now,
So many big players manipulate it against the common concept of market.


If all are expecting it to go up,
It will go up 15-20 points in sharp move,
all traders will trap in buying,
then sudden downfall starts.

This is called FROGLEAP.(If frog wants to jump further, it stretches backward it's body)

So at 8pm, We have 2 ways -
1. buy JUL sell AUG crude sl 10pt both side,
If sl hit in any side,open position once again in that side.
OR
2.If crude crossed average just after inventory
today on 19 jun
it slipped down below avarage,
sell it with SL above average.

for NATURAL GAS,
both side hedging before inventory doesn't work.
@8pm It may break 2pt SL both side in 10 seconds.
So open hedging here,
after hedging ,at 8.03/8.06pm on settlement
OR
see buyer- sellers and above /below average position &
open single side position with 0.5pt SL 3times.
Small SL may hit once, so try it again with same SL .
It is 90% probable to get profit in end.

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Tuesday, 18 June 2013

CRUDE ONLINE TRADING AND ROLE OF ATP(AVERAGE TRADED PRICE) in MCX TRADINGक्रूड ऑयल mcx में ऑनलाइन ट्रेडिंग कैसे करें atp से


CRUDE ONLINE TRADING AND ROLE OF ATP(AVERAGE TRADED PRICE) in MCX TRADING
क्रूड ऑयल mcx में ऑनलाइन ट्रेडिंग कैसे करें atp से 

Average is generally weighted average of high and low of that period.
Period may be a day,week or a year.

If some commodity or scrip maintaining above ATP, then it is said strong in buy side.
& If it slips below average, then becomes weak (selling)

say CRUDE was running today near average5720.
after some struggle, it came up fairly up above 5720 with increasing buyers.
Then 2 options are possible for trading-
1. buy crude@5728 sl5719
or
2. buy crude jun & sell crude july - stoploss 8 pt both side.
Hedging gives us support till clarity.

CRUDE ONLINE TRADING AND ROLE OF ATP(AVERAGE TRADED PRICE) in MCX TRADING
क्रूड ऑयल mcx में ऑनलाइन ट्रेडिंग कैसे करें atp से 
Generally 40-50pt stoploss in crude is given by tippers all over india.
If you are hitting 16pt both side sl in a very bad day,
then you will get 3 fair chances in same50 pt risk.
and it's not possible to hit 3 stoplosses consecutively, if you are entering@6.15/7.15/8.15pm.

Now crude went up to 5790. average is still 5732.
It is 50-60pt above average,
Then it is often seen that scrip slip to average once,then bounce back again( only if data supports

So what should we do here@5790?
book once buying profit.
then sell @5790 sl5800
or buy jun crude & sell july crude again with 8pt SL bothside.

This ATP phenomenon may be seen in other scrips too.


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Monday, 17 June 2013

stock market/mcx intraday trading part-2

 stock market/mcx intraday trading part-2



9. बॉयिंग के तत्काल बाद अपनी क्षमता के अनुसार निचे स्टाप लास लगाएं।जैसे 243 में बॉयिंग हुई है तो 239.90 पर सेलिंग आडर लगा दे ताकि शेयर निचे जाने  लगे तो 100 शेयर्स पर 300 से ज्यादा लॉस न हो।
          साथ ही ऊपर 249 का सेलिंग आडर लगा दीजिए ताकि तेजी की लहर आए तो आपके शेयर बिक जाए और आपको 600 का फायदा हो जाए।

10.स्टाप लॉस लगाने के बाद भी यदि वह उड़ा नही है,एक्जिक्यूट नही हुआ है तो 242 में ही सामने से बेचकर निचे का स्टाप लॉस हटाया जा सकता है।ताकि 300 के बजाय 100/- के  लॉस में ही बाहर निकल सकें।

11. यदि छोटे से लॉस को बुक करे तो किसी भी दुसरे बढ़ते शेयर को खरीदकर लॉस कभी भी कव्हर कर  सकते है।इसी तरह शेयर 246 तक पहुचकर बार-बार पलटता है तो आप वही  शेयर बेचकर ऊपर का सोदा (249/-) हटा दीजिए

12.कभी बढ़ता शेयर हम कम फायदे का बेच देते है।तो बाद में अफ़सोस होता है।इसलिए 246में 50शेयर बेचकर बाकि में इंतजार करके 50शेयर 10-12 रूपये ऊपर भी बेच सकते है।आप 50-50शेयर के दो सोदे अलग-अलग प्राइज पर एक साथ भी डाल  सकते है।

13. एक साथ एक समय में दो तिन से ज्यादा ट्रेड न करे।क्योकि हम एक साथ इससे ज्यादा शेयर को न वाच कर पाते है,न ही डिसीजन ले पाते है।
            तेजी में हर शेयर बढ़ता नजर आता है तो नए ट्रेडर्स एक साथ 5-7 शेयर्स प्लस कर लेते है।एक वक्त 4-5 बढ़े नजर आते है,2-3  घटे हुए नजर आते है।न हम बढ़े हुए पर प्राफिट बुक कर पाते है और न ही घटते शेयर्स का लॉस कंट्रोल कर पाते है।

14.ओव्हर ट्रेडिंग में टेक्स भी भारी पड़ता है और ऐसे में एक डिप (गिरावट)आ जाए तो फायदे नुकसान में बदल जाते है।

15. हर शेयर के एक दिन मे बढने या घटने की एक लिमिट होती है,जिसे फ्रिज लिमिट या सर्किट लिमिट कहते है|यह लिमिट उसी शेयर के लिए पहले२०%,फिर१०%,फिर५%हो जाती है| 
अपर सर्किट मे हम शेयर को खरीद नही सकते|क्योकि खरीदी नही रोकी जाएगी तो प्राइज़ का बढ़ना रुक नही सकता|
     लोअर सर्किट मे शेयर खरीद सकते,बेच नही सकते|क्योकि बिकवाली रोकने पर ही प्राइज़ गिरना बंद होती है|ऊपर सर्किट मे हर कोई श्रयर को खरीदना चाहता है|क्योकि अगले दिन शेयर उपर बिकता है|खरीदी पर रोक के बावजूद बायर्स सोदे डालकर लाइन मे लग जाते है|  

1 6 .कोई शेयर यदि कुछ दिन बढ़कर निचे की तरफ आता है तो उसे वाच करते रहें जैसे कि कोई स्टॉक एकदम बहुत बदा और हाई बनाकर वहां से लुडक गया । अगले दिनों में नीचे गिरते गिरते रेंज बाउंड  हो गया।
जब तक गिरी हुई कमोडिटी या स्टॉक पिछले महीनो के चार्ट में एवरेज लेवल के ऊपर न आ जाये तब तक बाइंग न करें।

17.कल जो शेयर बहुत बढे है .हो सकता है की आज भी बढे पर उनमे ट्रेडिंग  रिस्की है । निफ्टी या सेंसेक्स के
3 0 स्टॉक्स में जो भी आज घटे है .वो कल पलते तो बढ़ सकते है ।

1 8 हाई पर शेयर या कमोडिटी ख़रीदे और वह पलट कर निचे आ जाए तो पोजिशनल रखना भी रिस्की है क्योंकि सिल्वर हाई बनाकर सेलिंग प्रेशर से निचे आता है । फिर कई दिनों तक वही टिका रहता है ,जब तक उसके रेट नहीं आयेंगे 'हमारा पैसा फंस जाएगा ।

1 9 हमें किसी भी शेयर से हमेशा का प्यार या नफरत नहीं करना है । सिल्वर में आज कमी हुई तो रोज़ सिल्वर के पीछे लग गए ,ऐसे में तीसरे दिन मोह भंग हो जायेगा ।दो दिन तेजी के बाद तीसरे दिन गिरने की बहुत शंका है ।

2 0 .बाय नेचर आप बुलिश या बेरिश (तेजड़िए या मंदडीय़े )न बने । आप मंदी के दिन में ज्यादा तेजी न करे ,तेजी के दिनों में ज्यादा मंदी न करें अन्यथा एक दिन कमाएंगे ,दुसरे दिन गँवा देगे ।

2 1 मंदी में बेचने का सौदा चार्ट में उपर के रेट पर लगाना ठीक है । यदि गोल्ड 2 0 0 पॉइंट एक बार में गिरा है तो शोर्ट सेलिंग 7 0 -8 0 पॉइंट का उछाल  आने  पर करें ताकि 5 0 पॉइंट के छोटे स्टॉप लोस में काम हो झाय़े।

2 2 सुबह स्क्रीन से जाते वक़्त या शाम को मार्किट क्लोज के दस मिनट पहले ALT +F 6 से ट्रेडिंग रिकॉर्ड चेक कर लें । कभी ओपेरटर की गलती से कम -ज्यादा वॉल्यूम की खरीद -बिक्री हो जाती है ।
हर दस -दस मिनट में F 3 -F 3 से आर्डर बुक और ALT +F 6 से M 2 M (प्रॉफिट या लोस )देखते ही वहीँ से खरीद -बिक्री सीधे संभव है ।




 PANKAJ JAIN
THE MONEYGURU
9754381469
9713266391



good weekdays for trading & natural gas CHART details.



MONDAY is generally a range bound day in mcx.(crude/Ng may show good move)
TUESDAY also shows little move.
WEDNESDAY - good move starts. CRUDE inventory@ 8 or 9 pm .
THURSDAY- very big move with clarity, NG inventory@8 or 9pm
FRIDAY- BIg move but volatility(sudden reversals)
SATURDAY- not for trading(HALF DAY)

on 17th jun 
It is monday.
Today NG IS SHOWING GOOD MOVE.
If you see NG chart for today,
you can see some particular point of time for sudden moves.

FIGURE 1-2 BELOW SHOWS  1.PRODUCTION & 2.USAGE OF NG.


There was a gap up opening.It was more than +0.5% and buyers more than sellers.
till 2.30pm It was tight range.
@2.30pm sudden move of 1.5pt.
then it became range bound again for next 1 hr.
@3.55pm It gave movement of +2pt again.

4 to 6.30pm was in tight range,
@6.30 it gave further positive movement.

NATURAL GAS is a commodity which shows regularly big movements.
But without strict stoploss it is quite risky.
if it goes above 1%,then it will go to further 2-3% easily 2-3 times in a week.
Sometime stoploss doesn't work, so hedging is the best option to trade in NG.
buy Jun & sell july NG sl 60paisa both side.
If it moves suddenly 2pt any side
then profit is 2pt -0.6pt=1.4pt*1250=2000/- almost in 1 lot hedging.

Timing is most important.
If someone is trading between tight range, then it may hit frequent sl but no good move.
In above NG case 10 to 2.30pm,2.30 to 3.30pm, 4 to 6.30pm are tight range bound timing ,
If you do not know the timing patterns ,then you will enter after the big move,
not before that.

plz write down all the doubts and mail us for clarity.

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PANKAJ JAIN
MONEYGURU
WWW.SPEEDEARNING.IN
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09754381469
09713266391